Focus on those “special” leagues (and teams)

As I have alluded to in the past, certain soccer/football leagues in the world have a higher propensity for draws. Don’t be mistaken, these out-of-the-ordinary leagues (and teams) change every season. So do not treat historical data as the gospel!

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In fact, trends may change halfway through the season. Especially after mid-season signings in the January transfer window and managerial changes. Whenever a team goes on an incredible run of draws and then fire the manager, do NOT assume the same trend will continue with a new manager. Always observe what happens in the new coach’s first few games in charge.